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Goldman Sees 50% Chance Of A Government Shutdown

As we pointed out earlier, the chances of government agreeing any kind of debt ceiling deal (and avoiding a government shutdown) is dropping fast as USA default risk spikes and the Treasury Bill curve inverts. Goldman Sachs is now concerned also… Uncertainty in The White House is starting to make investors realize the chance of […]


“First They Came For The Statues…”

Authored by James Howard Kunstler via Kunstler.com, First they came for the statues…. What do you know, long about Wednesday, August 16, 2017, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Cal) discovered that the United States Capitol building was infested with statues of Confederate dignitaries. Thirty years walking those marbled halls and she just noticed? Her startled […]


Bitcoin Cash Soars 70% Overnight Amid Bitcoin Uncertainty & China Crackdown

Bitcoin Cash soared overnight, spiking as high as $569 (from below $300) as renewed uncertainty around Bitcoin re-forking, reports that the first 8mb block has been mined, and fears over further crackdowns in China on Bitcoin trading sparked demand for the forked currency, pushing it back up to the 3rd biggest cryptocurrency by market cap. […]


Why There Will Be No 11th Hour Debt Ceiling Deal

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, A new milestone on the American populaces’ collective pursuit of insolvency was reached this week.  According to a report published on Tuesday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, total U.S. household debt jumped to a new record high of $12.84 trillion during the second quarter.  This included […]


Rig Count Drops Most In 7 Months As ‘Traders’ Panic-Buy Crude Futures

The US oil rig count dropped 5 to 763 last week, the biggest drop in 7 months. However, crude production from the Lower 48 has surged (rising the most since June last week) to the highest since July 2015. Even with today's sheer farce panic-buying squeze higher in WTI crude, oil looks set for its […]


Bannon Out At The White House

Confirming earlier reports from Matt Drudge and the NYT, on Friday afternoon the White House confirmed that Trump decided to push out his chief strategist, and the man who according to many got him elected, Stephen Bannon. “White House Chief of Staff John Kelly and Steve Bannon have mutually agreed today would be Steve’s last […]


Bannon Fired From The White House

Update: from Reuters: BANNON HAS BEEN FIRED FROM HIS WHITE HOUSE POST -PERSON FAMILIAR WITH THE DECISION As the Post writes, while Bannon had been on the outs with Trump before, the president suspected Bannon was one of the main leakers in the administration, trashing his colleagues in the press. The notoriously thin-skinned president also […]


Leaked UN Report: Saudi Coalition Responsible For Mass Child Deaths In Yemen

A leaked United Nations report finds that Saudi Arabia has massacred thousands of children in Yemen since the start of its air campaign in the impoverished country and now the Saudis are using their vast wealth and influence to suppress the document's findings in order to stay off of a UN blacklist identifying nations which […]


Return Of The Leakers: Mueller Reportedly Focusing On Don Jr.’s “Intent” During Russia Meeting

Looks like the leakers are back from vacation… After a summer with only a handful of leaked “updates” about Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into purported collusion between the Russian government and Trump campaign, Buzzfeed is back with its first major investigation “scoop” since it published the phony “Russia dossier” late last year. The digital-media […]


These Are The Top 50 Hedge Fund Long And Short Positions

One can argue that few industries have “suffered” more under central planning than billionaire hedge fund managers. It is no secret to regular readers that over the past decade, hedge funds have not only underperformed the market, but had as a group failed to generate “alpha” since 2011. As we have shown year after year, […]


Stocks Jump On Rumors That Bannon Firing Is Imminent

A decision is reportedly imminent from White House chief of staff John Kelly on whether Steve Bannon will keep his job, according to administration officials with knowledge of the situation. Axios reports that man West Wing officials are now asking "when," not "if," Bannon goes. Axios points out that Bannon, who has run afoul of […]


UK Bookies See 60% Chance Trump Is Impeached

It seems Americans are considerably more sanguine than the British about President Donald Trump's future… First-Term Trump Impeachment Odds: Paddy Power 60% – PredictIt 35% According to US-based PredictIt, the odds of Trump being impeached during his first term are 35%…   However, money flow into UK bookies Paddy Power have pushed the odds of […]


Will They Haul Off Trump’s Statue, Too?

Authored by Bonner & Partners' Bill Bonner, annotated by Acting-Man's Pater Tenebrarum, Confused by Shadows This week, we are talking about the perishable nature of gods. Yesterday, the city fathers of our hometown of Baltimore let it be known that it was time to toss out the old deities.   The Robert E. Lee and […]


UMich Beats But Warns A Drop Is Imminent

The University of Michigan Sentiment survey beat expectations with its preliminary August print (97.6 vs 94.0 exp) driven by a massive spike in ‘hope’ as currenct conditions slump to their weakest since Nov 2016. How long will that ‘hope’ spike last?   As UMich details, half of all consumers in each of the last three […]


Stock/Bond Ratio could breakdown here, says Joe Friday

Below looks at the Stock/Bond ratio, which is created by using the S&P 500 and Zero Coupon Bond ETF (ZROZ). The chart below looks at the price action over the past three years. Since the highs back in 2014, the ratio for the most part has created a horizontal channel, chopping back and forth.   CLICK […]